best-way-to-predict-futureLet’s face it, unless we lose power in a very major way, the cloud is simply not at risk of being “unavailable”. At least not on the level that Microsoft, Amazon (AWS), Google, and Rackspace or building and providing resources. If we’re smart and anticipate the possibility of geographic specific failures, then we’ll build on redundant systems. Hey, wait a minute… that sounds like the cloud. 🙂

Tablets will replace laptops and many desktops.

Virtual desktops will replace existing desktops in environments where BYOD is not acceptable – although I don’t expect this to be a hurdle for much longer.  That is, it won’t matter what device you have, you’ll always log onto a desktop in the cloud.

At the very least, desktops will be thin clients or terminals to robust virtualized desktop experiences or specially designed

The term “cloud” will be the norm and people will trust it. Everyone will know what it is and understand that it’s not some pie in the sky ambiguous term technology gurus use to impress people.

Our computing experience will be synchronized with all of our devices (think iTunes or Windows 8) and include huge storage allocation for backups. I have over 100GB of storage in a single location for FREE (Thanks OneDrive) – which was unheard of 5 years ago.

I like the key fob idea and think this could be more realistic with reduce pricing on the hardware to make this happen. One key fob for Time-Clocks, Access Controls, and Computer Access… I love it!

Our computing experience will be subscription based so that regardless of our access to the internet, we’re always connected whether that access is thru our personal devices or other.

BYOD? Who cares? Do whatever you want – our systems will let you know what you need to do.
I was recently asked by one of the largest professional enterprise network groups in the country about where I thought technology would be in five years.  Hear are my abbreviated points.

Microsoft will be the dominating leader in cloud networking and computing followed closely by Amazon AWS and perhaps Rackspace.   Google will be the leader in AI (artificial intelligence) technology and also the leading service provider of internet connection and distribution in remote areas.

Security (Antivirus, threat management, etc) will be done in the cloud rather than device specific. The entire internet experience will be a multitude of secured pipes rather than wide open access. So this security will act more like mini-firewalls.

Security will exist inside hardware rather than software running in the gui.

Microsoft Office and many other applications will be subscription based and entirely online. We will be able to install “desktop” apps but that is exactly what they’ll be – apps providing a local experience for resources in the cloud.

Backups and corporate networks will exist onsite and offsite as prices for visualized servers and storage decrease.

Internet speeds will continue to climb as will demand.

IT Departments will decrease in size as more of the work is outsourced to specialty shops and hosted software applications and the end users become more savvy to “apps” as usage moves away from hardware dependency to cloud.

Single Sign-On for most everything we do. From Corporate to personal.

Facebook and twitter will be like MySpace 5 years ago.

Instagram, snapchat, and others will rise up to take over the social media market.

Education systems (curriculum) for K-12 will be nearly 100% digital from lecture and study material to testing (Hello Canvas, Edmodo and Blackboard – it’s not just for college anymore).

Internet access thru cellular carriers will be more efficient and extremely fast. No more wifi, mifi, broadband cards/usb sticks/devices. As a matter of fact, tablets will be able to connect to cellular networks with a user login account connected to your personal or corporate cellular account.

Landline / analog phones and services will continue to decline – VOIP home phone anyone? Long Distance charges – what’s that?

More rural areas will be able to connect with high-speed internet.

Cellular services will be data driven rather than radio driven. Mobile phones will use apps riding data connections rather than radios to make calls. No service? Not anymore. All you need is Wifi